The 2019 Worldcom Confidence Index reveals major decline in CEO Confidence globally
The confidence of global business leaders plummeted in 2019, according to the second annual Worldcom Confidence Index (CI) from The Worldcom Public Relations Group (Worldcom). In an analysis of online content from more than 58,000 chief executive and chief marketing officers, the overall confidence among global CEOs and CMOs is down more than 20 percent, with the most significant drops in the United States (51 percent) and China (21 percent). Japan bucked the trend, moving from last to first in the Confidence Index, with a rise of 74 percent.
“High levels of uncertainty globally, including talk of trade wars between the United States and China, have not helped assuage the fears of business leaders, and our research shows that global trade agreements and tariffs are undermining confidence,” said Roger Hurni, chairman of the Worldcom Public Relations Group. “Since our last Confidence Index in 2018, leaders have also encountered Brexit, protests in Hong Kong, the proliferation of global warming, famine, and the re-emergence of diseases such as measles. This combination of factors may help explain why confidence levels have fallen so dramatically over the past year.”
A breakthrough research methodology using artificial intelligence (AI)
This year, Worldcom engaged Advanced Symbolics Inc., (ASI) a market research firm that uses artificial intelligence to track and interpret publicly available social media content. This year’s report examined data from nearly 60,000 business leaders, showing how their opinions and intentions have changed over time.
“Worldcom used artificial intelligence to perform important market research for this year’s confidence index, showing that they are innovative and understand the key benefits AI provides PR firms and professionals,” said Erin Kelly, chief executive officer of ASI. “Our AI tracked a sample of nearly 60,000 business leaders from 15 different countries – a big increase from previous years.”
Influencers become #1 audience for leader attention
Along with global confidence, the report measures the importance of reaching specific audiences and the confidence levels that c-suite executives have in reaching those audiences. In 2018, CEOs were most concerned with reaching customers, but the 2019 research report shows that leaders are giving most attention to influencers. Their attention share grew 160 percent from 2018 to 201, pushing customers into second place and employees into third place. However, CEO confidence in reaching influencers remains quite low. Leaders are more confident in their abilities to reach shareholders, customers, suppliers, and even government officials.
“Influencers were an audience in decline in 2018 but leaped to the front of the pack in this year’s report,” said Hurni. “The growth of this audience could suggest that leaders feel they need the support of influencers to help them navigate their way through turbulent times.”
Upskilling Now a Major Focus in Battle for Employee Engagement and Retention
Another issue CEOs and CMOs are managing is the retention of current employees. Leaders have low confidence in their abilities to retain talent. Firms in the United Kingdom and the United States rank last and second-to-last respectively, in their confidence to retain employees. This is just one of five employee-related issues that feature in the top six topics discussed globally. Economic migration is a cause for concern globally – most notably in the U.S., which had the lowest Confidence Index score. The number one topic aired by leaders is upskilling and reskilling employees. The U.K. had the lowest score for this topic, and Japan the highest. Improving skills is just one of many areas leaders are exploring to keep employees loyal and engaged.
“Just like last year, what is keeping CEOs up at night is retaining top talent. This year they also want to ensure employees have the right skills in an evolving and dynamic workplace,” said Hurni. “What’s also clear from the report is that employment benefits need to be a part of a retention and attraction strategy.”
The Worldcom Confidence Index highlights concerns/confidence across 23 topics and six audiences. We have outlined the top 10 findings in what we call, “The Worldcom Confidence 10.”
The Worldcom Confidence 10
#1 Confidence levels implode – down 21 percent
- The United States is the biggest faller (down 51 percent) and Japan the biggest riser
#2 Influencers become #1 audience for leader attention but have the second-lowest Confidence Index score
- The impact and role of the media has the lowest CI score
#3 Employee related topics dominate leaders’ agenda
- Employee related topics take five out of the top six topic places
- Upskilling and reskilling the most discussed topic
- The Worldcom Confidence Index score for employees is the lowest of all audiences
#4 Leaders have concerns about their corporate image and brand reputation and their ability to protect it in a crisis
#5 Global trade agreements and tariffs undermine confidence
#6 Confidence declines in the ability to satisfy customers – especially in the U.S. – but remains higher than other business topics
#7 Global Worldcom Confidence Index scores show that events that affect us all, like global warming, trigger very different reactions in our leaders
#8 Government and legislators are getting much more attention and their changes are a cause for concern
#9 A marked shift in attitude to the impact of the way political leaders communicate on social media
#10 Cybercrime no longer a global cause for concern but a big issue for South American leaders
The study was able to operate at this scale, and in nine different languages, because the data was captured using a breakthrough approach powered by artificial intelligence (AI). The chosen research firm, ASI, has developed a patented method of building representative samples and then capturing information with their AI tool.
“We are delighted to be the first organization to use AI in this way and on this scale,” said Hurni. “It’s further proof of the way Worldcom partners around the world use innovative solutions to deliver immediate results and lasting solutions for clients. We chose ASI’s approach because it’s proven to be incredibly accurate. Only last month, they were the only research firm to accurately predict the outcome of the Canadian elections by using their AI tool. We will be adding to this research over the coming months to deliver invaluable insight to our clients in particular and business leaders in general.”
The full report and other media assets can be downloaded here.
Comments from Experts
“It’s great to see upskilling and reskilling on the agenda as an area of focus. Many manufacturing organisations have been focusing on these areas for a while to allow their people to move into newly created roles as more AI and tech come into use as well as helping people move into other roles in new companies if necessary. Sadly, for most companies, upskilling and reskilling has been lacking for too long, and I think this then impacts on areas of engagement, confidence, culture, talent, sustainability and indeed the overall success of the organisation.
“For decades, companies have been placing their people on cookie cutter development courses thinking that in spending the money they will create a more talented workforce. What is lacking, is the focus on what skills are actually needed in the business now and in the future and so development misses the mark.
This then has a knock-on effect with talent attraction and retention. All too often companies want to replace person X with person Y, yet fail to review the job spec properly or consider what outcomes the new person in the role needs to achieve. What they miss is that person X has changed the role, learned new skills, developed in the role, made it theirs and brought into it some of their own unique skills and personality. We need to better understand the skills and talent we need, remove our conscious and unconscious bias and stop trying to replace people, and instead focus on attracting the people who can deliver the outcomes we need, and this can be very different to what we see written on paper.
When we know the skills we need to deliver our outcomes and objectives, upskilling and reskilling become easier. We are then less worried about our company reputation because we know we have the right people in the right role at the right time with not only the right skills, but also the right behaviours”. Kelly Swingler, Founder and CEO The Chrysalis Crew
If you’d like to discuss your employee engagement and development needs email [email protected] to reach the EEA training and consulting team
“I’m not surprised employment benefits features so highly on the leadership agenda. If you want to win the war for talent and make people more productive, you need to get the total rewards mix right. This increasingly includes some potentially surprising areas such as providing employees advice for financial wellbeing. Our own research shows that you can undermine all your good work if you pay people late or make mistakes with their payroll. This has an incredibly damaging impact both on employee productivity and your employer brand.” John Petter CEO Zellis
“Organisations are proving that focusing on the employee experience for each individual is having an incredibly beneficial impact. Always on, continuous listening, consistent feedback and purpose-driven teams, are rapidly replacing traditional ways of working.” Ruth Dance, Managing Director of the Employee Engagement Alliance
“In the last five years we have seen the area of employee engagement become more strategic, with much greater support from business leaders. The entries to our most recent awards clearly demonstrate the business value delivered by making employee engagement part of the DNA of a business.” Matt Manners, CEO The Employee Engagement Awards
“Workers and organisations need to adapt to the transformative changes happening to the nature of work. The concerns leaders show in this study need to translate into action and investment. In particular, there needs to be significant focus on adult skills with easily accessible opportunities to upskill and retrain throughout careers. At a time where we are seeing a record-low level of participation in learning by adults, leaders are in the best position to respond to these concerns and help build opportunity for all.” Dominic Atkinson, Founder Stay Nimble
About The Worldcom Public Relations Group
The Worldcom Public Relations Group (Worldcom) is the world’s leading partnership of independently owned public relations firms, with 143 offices employing some 2,000 staff in 115 cities across six continents. In total, Worldcom partners reported a combined revenue of US$288 million last year from 3,034 clients. Established in 1988, the group was formed so that the strongest, most capable independent firms could inspire direct action from stakeholders in a way that delivers immediate results and lasting outcomes– wherever in the world a client needs support.
Worldcom’s partners deliver unique connectivity to their marketplace. This provides clients direct access to the audiences they most want to take action and to specialists that can deliver on challenging problems. As a result, strategies and campaigns see immediate reactions that turn into sustained audience actions. Partners serve national, international, and multinational clients while retaining the flexibility and client-service focus inherent in independent agencies. Through Worldcom, clients have on-demand access to in-depth communications expertise from professionals who understand the language, culture, and customs of the geographic areas in which they operate. Learn more about Worldcom at www.worldcomgroup.com or by calling 1-800-955-9675.